Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.114465 0.135643 0.159337 0.187766 0.220906 0.258271 0.303548
2025-01-19 0.078625 0.104911 0.137653 0.181245 0.237553 0.307610 0.401129
2025-01-26 0.061558 0.090233 0.129093 0.185186 0.263584 0.368684 0.519560
2025-02-02 0.049938 0.079240 0.121861 0.187655 0.285770 0.425555 0.638365
2025-02-09 0.041223 0.070159 0.114945 0.188250 0.303868 0.477417 0.755194
2025-02-16 0.035121 0.063668 0.110379 0.190926 0.324414 0.534179 0.884914
2025-02-23 0.031187 0.059862 0.109199 0.198340 0.352733 0.605386 1.044401
2025-03-02 0.025945 0.052695 0.101049 0.192496 0.357820 0.639175 1.146500
2025-03-09 0.022539 0.048231 0.096832 0.192672 0.372831 0.690509 1.282776
2025-03-16 0.019366 0.043596 0.091493 0.189821 0.381690 0.731651 1.405097
2025-03-23 0.017514 0.041304 0.090253 0.194480 0.404844 0.800387 1.583463
2025-03-30 0.015334 0.037890 0.086200 0.192877 0.415507 0.846867 1.725026
2025-04-06 0.013145 0.034092 0.080852 0.188042 0.419533 0.881989 1.850519
2025-04-13 0.011209 0.030507 0.075398 0.182183 0.420701 0.911696 1.968868
2025-04-20 0.010224 0.029062 0.074527 0.186302 0.443543 0.987299 2.186986
2025-04-27 0.009262 0.027478 0.073065 0.188822 0.463113 1.058035 2.402015
2025-05-04 0.008313 0.025739 0.070939 0.189429 0.478361 1.121039 2.606800
2025-05-11 0.007584 0.024457 0.069747 0.192123 0.498728 1.197123 2.847103
2025-05-18 0.007145 0.023926 0.070417 0.199581 0.531335 1.303597 3.164513
2025-05-25 0.006207 0.021697 0.066178 0.193703 0.530534 1.333944 3.313216
2025-06-01 0.005612 0.020409 0.064319 0.193880 0.544914 1.400926 3.552453
2025-06-08 0.004984 0.018877 0.061505 0.191012 0.551062 1.448867 3.751392
2025-06-15 0.004659 0.018291 0.061378 0.195699 0.577694 1.549039 4.084486